---
source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
indicator: Distillate Stocks Change
ticker: ECONOMICS:USDFS
period: Week Ending February 27, 2026
report_date: March 4, 2026
url: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/weekly/
---

# Distillate Stocks Change

## Data Summary

**Week Ending February 27, 2026**

- **Actual:** +0.429 million barrels (build)
- **Forecast:** -2.6 million barrels (expected draw)
- **Previous Week:** +0.252 million barrels
- **Surprise vs. Forecast:** +3.029 Mbbl (build vs. expected draw)

## Context

Distillate stocks posted an unexpected build of 0.429 Mbbl, contrary to a forecast of a 2.6 Mbbl draw. The 3.029 Mbbl surprise represents a significant deviation from expectations, with the actual outcome showing inventory accumulation instead of reduction.

## Assessment

The unexpected build suggests production exceeded withdrawal demand by a wider margin than anticipated. This follows the prior week's +0.252 Mbbl build, indicating a second consecutive week of accumulation—unusual for late winter when heating season demand typically generates inventory draws. The divergence from forecast (expected 2.6 Mbbl draw) reflects either stronger-than-anticipated production or weaker-than-anticipated demand. Coupled with distillate production recovery, this indicates adequate supply conditions.

## Source

**Publication:** Weekly Petroleum Status Report  
**Agency:** U.S. Energy Information Administration  
**Release:** March 4, 2026, 10:30 AM ET  
**Data Period:** Week Ending February 27, 2026  
**Frequency:** Weekly